What are the cons of private market insurance for aged care?
Prof. Sherris:聽Long-term care insurance is most likely to be of interest to couples with significant financial resources who want to protect an inheritance. This is mostly because long-term aged care insurance is often regarded as expensive since premiums need to cover not only the insurance costs but also the loadings for the insurer to cover solvency capital costs, underwriting expenses, and claims administration. Loadings for long-term care insurance can be as high as 30 to 40 per cent. This reflects the risk from systematic trends and uncertainty in mortality and morbidity impacting the financial solvency of the insurer. But product innovations such as combined life annuities with long-term care insurance and pooled mutual long-term care insurance can reduce these costs.聽
It鈥檚 also important to include inflation in benefit payments, which adds to the long-term care insurance cost. Insurers are also not always willing to provide long-term care insurance because of the risk of having to pay a higher number of claims than聽anticipated to high risk clients.
What about the aged care levy?
Prof. Sherris:聽An aged care levy was recommended by the Aged Care Royal Commission as a way of increasing funds available for aged care. It would be like the Medicare Levy which we pay to partly fund government health and NDIS costs. It is paid based on taxable income during working life.
If such a levy was adopted for aged care, then this is where intergenerational issues become important and also where the role of an insurance structure for financing aged care would be important to ensure the aged care levy was applied to improving aged care.
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Is private insurance just a way for the government to offload its responsibility?
Prof. Sherris:聽The government funds specified amounts for home care packages and specified residential care funding. The aged care royal commission has highlighted how this funding is inadequate to provide a sufficient level of quality of care, and substantial additional funding would be required. Otherwise, the current system of poor-quality residential care and long waiting time for home care packages will continue. So, government funding will always be the most significant form of financing for aged care, especially for individuals with limited resources in older age.
In other countries such as Japan, where they have an insurance-based aged care financing system, individuals contribute but government financing is important. Individuals with sufficient resources are generally willing to contribute towards their aged care especially if it improves the quality. With the government budget under pressure, additional resources from individuals will contribute to improving the system, especially as the Australian superannuation system matures and retirees will have more financial resources to support the risks of needing aged care in retirement.
Can鈥檛 the government just allocate more money to aged care in the budget?
Prof. Sherris:聽The government could allocate more funding to aged care in the budget. It rations the聽funding provided for aged聽care based on a ratio of people over age 75 in the Australian population. The basis they use to allocate funds is inadequate since the measure they used does not reflect the ageing population and the time when aged care will be needed. They are also under budget constraints.
The previous government aimed to keep the budget out of deficit and cut back or constrained costs to do this. Then came COVID and they had no option other than to use government budget funds to finance the impact of COVID producing trillion dollars of debt, large amounts of money in the system and resulting in high inflation and high and volatile share markets and home prices.
The previous government did allocate more funds to aged care following the Royal Commission report, but this was not enough to remove the waiting lists for aged care that existed, never mind future aged care needs. So the Labor government could allocate more funding but needs to balance this against other funding for health聽and defence as well as considering the massive COVID debt that we will have to somehow finance.
No matter how you consider the financing of aged care there will be a need for more contributions from individuals if we want to meet the future expected demand and have a reasonable quality of care.
Michael Sherris聽is a CEPAR Chief Investigator, Director of Industry Engagement, and a part-time Professor of Actuarial Studies at 麻豆社madou Business School. His research sits at the intersection of actuarial science and financial economics and has attracted several international and Australian best paper awards.聽